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NotesMath AA SLTopic 4.1
Unit 4 · Statistics & Probability · Topic 4.1

IB Math AA SL — Sampling & reliability

Topic 4.1 of IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches covers Sampling & reliability, which is part of Unit 4: Statistics & Probability. Students explore key concepts including Populations & samples, Sampling techniques. A strong understanding of sampling & reliability is essential for IB Math AA SL exams and builds the foundation for connected topics across the syllabus.

Exam technique guidePractice questions

Key concepts in Sampling & reliability

Key Idea: This topic is about choosing a fair sample and judging how trustworthy it is. Exam parts ask you to name the sampling method, do a quick calculation, or explain why a sample is biased — all non-calculator (Paper 1).

👥 Population, sample & why we sample

Important: A sample is reliable only when it represents the whole population. A biased sample over- or under-represents part of it. A bigger sample helps — but a large unfair sample is still biased.

🎯 The five sampling techniques

k=Nnk = \frac{N}{n}k=nN​
NNN
population size
nnn
sample size
kkk
systematic interval — take every k-th member
number from a group=group sizeN×n\text{number from a group} = \frac{\text{group size}}{N} \times nnumber from a group=Ngroup size​×n
NNN
population size
nnn
total sample size

✏️ IB-style worked examples

IB-style question — systematic sampling interval

A gym has 900 members. A sample of 60 is taken systematically. Find the sampling interval and describe how to choose the sample.

Step by step:

  1. Interval = population ÷ sample size.

    k=90060=15k = \frac{900}{60} = 15k=60900​=15
  2. Random start, then step by k.

    random start 1–15, then every 15th\text{random start } 1\text{–}15,\ \text{then every } 15\text{th}random start 1–15, then every 15th
Final answer:

k = 15: pick a random start from the first 15, then take every 15th member.

IB-style question — stratified sample size

A college has 700 day students and 300 evening students (1000 total). A stratified sample of 50 is taken. Find how many day students should be in the sample.

Step by step:

  1. Group proportion × sample size.

    7001000×50\frac{700}{1000} \times 501000700​×50
  2. Evaluate.

    =0.7×50=35= 0.7 \times 50 = 35=0.7×50=35
Final answer:

35 day students (and so 15 evening students — they total 50).

Important: For systematic sampling the interval is k = N ÷ n, not n itself. With 900 members and a sample of 60, k = 15, not 60. And always check stratified shares sum to n.

Tap each card to reveal the answer.

Exam Tips

  • Name the population as the WHOLE group the question is about, not just those measured.
  • For 'why sample?': say cheaper, faster, or the test destroys the item.
  • Systematic interval is k = N ÷ n; stratified share = (group ÷ N) × n — check shares total n.
  • Quota and convenience are the usual answers when asked which method is biased.
  • For 'why unreliable?': name the group that is over- or under-represented.

What you'll learn in Topic 4.1

  • 4.1.1 Populations & samples
  • 4.1.2 Sampling techniques
Suggested study order: Read the notes for each sub-topic below → test yourself with flashcards → attempt practice questions → review exam technique.

Study resources — 4.1 Sampling & reliability

4.1.1

Populations & samples

Notes
4.1.2

Sampling techniques

Notes

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Topic 4.1 Sampling & reliability forms a core part of Unit 4: Statistics & Probability in IB Math AA SL. Mastering these concepts will strengthen your understanding of connected topics across the syllabus and prepare you for exam questions that require analysis, evaluation, and real-world application.

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