Back to Topic 4.11 — Conditional probability
4.11.1Math AA SL SL9 flashcards

Conditional probability

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Card 1 of 94.11.1
4.11.1
Question

State the conditional probability formula.

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All 9 Flashcards — Conditional probability

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Card 1formula

Question

State the conditional probability formula.

Answer

P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) ÷ P(B).

Card 2definition

Question

What does P(A | B) mean?

Answer

The probability of A given that B has already occurred.

Card 3concept

Question

Which event do you divide by?

Answer

The given event — the one after the '|'.

Card 4concept

Question

If you only have P(A), P(B) and P(A ∪ B), how do you start?

Answer

Find P(A ∩ B) from the addition rule first.

Card 5concept

Question

From a two-way table, what is the denominator for P(A | B)?

Answer

The total of the given group B (e.g. all students), not the whole sample.

Card 6concept

Question

On a tree diagram, what kind of probability is a second-stage branch?

Answer

A conditional probability (given the first-stage outcome).

Card 7concept

Question

How do you reverse a condition on a tree (e.g. P(cause | effect))?

Answer

Use P(cause ∩ effect) ÷ P(effect), with P(effect) the total over all paths.

Card 8concept

Question

How is conditional probability linked to independence?

Answer

If P(A | B) = P(A), then A and B are independent.

Card 9formula

Question

Rearrange to find P(A ∩ B) from P(A | B) and P(B).

Answer

P(A ∩ B) = P(A | B) × P(B).

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IB Math AA SL Conditional probability Flashcards | 4.11.1 | Aimnova | Aimnova